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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • They point to women's impressive performance in extreme distance events, like 100+ mile ultra marathons.

    But that runs head long into the question of "How far do you have to actually chase an animal for it to collapse from exhaustion?" I'm having a hard time finding hard numbers but I don't think gazelle have the endurance to run 10+ miles before collapsing. So women may be biologically equipped for ultra-long distances, but I don't see how this correlates to endurance hunting as that advantage doesn't play out hunting game.

    That's not to say the basis for the theory on male hunters/female gatherers is not without flaw, but the arguments being made against it don't seem to really be citing evidence that backs up women being significant, let alone dominant, in that role either.




  • Of course Biden didn't, but I genuinely think Trump will be way worse. Anyone who thinks Trump, in control of our military as President, wouldn't be making even worse choices, clearly wasn't paying attention last round.

    And it's not just Israel/Palestine. It's Ukraine/Russia and China/Taiwan. Biden isn't changing the status quo, but he's not actively making the situation worse. Trump adores the military and sees himself as a strongman (admittedly not when licking Putin's boot), and is going to immediately want to flex the military. He'll pull Ukraine support entirely. He'll antagonize Iran or maybe actively bomb Hamas targets in Palestine. He'll antagonize China or maybe recognize Taiwan's independence. That would be a disaster.

    I want change. I want a better system. I desperately want us to take our hands off the lever. But that change needs to be better and lasting change. It needs to be done such that when enough Democrats take their hands off the lever, the lever does get pulled hard in Republican's favor. I will actively pull the lever in the "kill people" direction because if we let go at all it will be yanked in the "kill everyone" direction, and when it comes to ideals versus practicality, I go with what actually results in less harm.

    I get the ideal, but the practicality of American politics and the electoral college is just shitty. I'm genuinely curious what you think would happen in 2024 if people don't vote Biden? I'm assuming you're advocating for the Green Party, whoever their candidate ends up being. Trump doesn't need huge margins to win. Biden had over 6 million more votes but the margins in many key swing states were less than 25,000 votes. Anyone farther left of Biden isn't pulling votes from Trump, they're pulling votes from Biden, and when the margin is that small, it makes all the difference. A Green candidate taking even 3% of a given state is enough to give it to Trump.

    I believe enough change from the inside is possible that it can invalidate the lever. There are progressives within the Dems, that could get us to a point where there's no electoral college, or a voting system that isn't first-past-the-post. States are independently joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. Once such systems are in place, then it doesn't matter how hard the Republicans pull the lever, we have a bunch of working levers. But we'll never get to that point in the first place if the Republicans get to pull the lever all the way. The party that actively wants to destroy our democracy is not gonna give us a second chance at any lever if we let them pull this one further.


  • You have roughly equal amounts of people pulling the lever in the "kill one person" direction and the "kill many people" direction.

    The only people interested in pulling a lever that adds a third rail are the "kill one person" crowd. The moment enough of them let go, the lever goes in the "kill many people" direction because that crowd has no interest in a third rail, they quite like the "kill many people" option. You'll never get enough people to join the third option from both crowds simultaneously. No third party has seen any real form of success in nearly 200 years within the current system. Changing the system is necessary but taking out hands off the lever is a disaster.


  • Democrats can be really dumb sometimes. Too many would rather stick to idealistic principles because at least then when they lose they can claim the high road and a persecution complex.

    Maybe it's not much of a "complex" when that persecution actually then happens (like the Dobbs decision), but if Democrats would just shut up and vote with the best option available instead of not voting at all, maybe we'd win more. Trump wouldn't have been elected in 2016 if Democrats had turned out in the same numbers they did in 2008 but instead 4 million Dems just didn't show up.

    If Democrats won more, we could at least start to implement changes like Instant-Runoff Voting or doing away with the Electoral College. Republicans don't want any of those changes, because they know it weakens their position. But so many liberals just refuse to vote because there's no "good" option and refuse to vote for the option that even enables a "good" choice, while any conservative will do anything they can to vote for anyone willing to put an ® next to their name. It's so fucking juvenile and I'm still ashamed to admit I once used to believe it too.




  • He basically was willing to discuss all the areas where the Israelis were making concessions. He wasn't willing to discuss any of the areas where the Palestinians were supposed to make concessions. So it seemed like he had just said no.

    But what I subsequently learned - about 18 months ago, I had a dinner with a former Palestinian negotiator who'd been part of the delegation. He said the whole Palestinian delegation had decided among themselves they should accept it. They went back to Arafat, and Arafat said no. I subsequently heard from another Palestinian on that delegation who said Arafat thought he could still do a better deal under Bush because he thought maybe Bush will be even more forthcoming.

    Holy shit, so Arafat alone basically blew the best chance we had.

    Jerusalem should just be made a UN protectorate or independent third city-state at this point as part of a two-state solution (like the Vatican).

    And yeah, I know everyone will hate that idea, but hey, at least then everyone will hate the idea.


  • I don't know it's unequal. Hamas clearly has little regard for Palestinian or Israeli civilians. Their MO for two decades has been rocket attacks on Israeli civilians. And if they cared about their own civilians they wouldn't use hospitals and schools as artillery bases. They know Israel doesn't care either though and will bomb them anyway, which is basically what Hamas is banking on.

    Both forces care little for civilians. The difference is when Israel doesn't care it's a 500 lb bomb through a school. When Hamas doesn't care it's a 40lb rocket that probably gets shot down by the Iron Dome anyway.

    Equal disregard for civilian life on both sides. Unequal force willing to be exerted by one side.





  • For at least a couple more years we will. It took us a bit to set up our system. Probably will take you a couple as well. Takes time to build a distribution network too, since you can't really import it from growers in other states, so for a while ours will probably be cheaper.

    But it's still a huge win and it's better for us all to have more states legalize it. And in the meantime we can just both suck Indiana dry of marijuana money.



  • I was thinking "Maybe he was more moderate or even liberal, but just knew there's no getting elected without an ® in small town Alabama politics, and so ran as a Republican anyway." The inverse happens in our town - we're so blue, we occasionally get conservatives running as Democrats just to have a shot.

    But then he ran for re-election in 2020 and used publicity of him and Trump together to get re-elected, which is farther than any actual moderate would go. So he's either a massive hypocrite to the LGBT community or a massive hypocrite to the Conservative community, but either way, wasn't super bright if he was posting all this publicly to Reddit as an elected figure. Shame he felt the need to shoot himself. Could have just moved to a blue state.


  • Detroit was the setting of RoboCop. Crime was pretty bad there in the 70s/80s. It's much better now and the city is turning around.

    However, worth noting that Detroit is in the lower peninsula of Michigan, and the blue "cars & crime" part here is the upper peninsula, which is basically super rural and low crime. I suspect this was done intentionally, lol.


  • Michigan has more automotive manufacturing facilities than any other state, nearly 1,000 if you count all the suppliers and distribution hubs. And despite Stellantis now being French-owned and abandoning their headquarters, Ford and GM are still present with many dozens of facilities as well as their respective HQs.

    Next closest is Ohio with only 600.


  • Is the next goal to try working towards a national ban?

    Yes.

    Are they stupid enough to not realize that would be political suicide?

    Yes.

    Some have expressed an interest in targeting contraception next. Keep in mind, many believe in replacement theory and want to restrict immigration (of people of color), which is the only thing currently keeping our replacement rate positive. So the fulfillment of their dream to eliminate immigration without also tanking our future economy is basically by forcing people to have babies. Ideally white babies, but they're probably not too picky on who is picking crops, flipping burgers, and building cars, because they can also keep gerrymandering the shit out of states to keep minorities from gaining proportional voting power.