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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Yeah, but unfortunately with how charged everything is if he gets anything he will claim political persecution and try to be a martyr

    He’s doing that now. He will do it if he is sentenced, and ALSO if he doesn’t get jail time. Appeasing him gets you exactly nothing.

    ( his campaign has claimed they already raised 55m since the conviction).

    His campaign claims a lot of things, none of them true. It would be surprising if this turned out to be the first time they weren’t lying.

    It’s why I think he didn’t get really anything bad when he violated the gag order so much.

    I think the judge was going overboard to give every benefit of the doubt to Trump so there would be no basis for appeal. I hope that’s the case.


















  • So it all comes down to “do Republicans want to win badly enough that they can suppress their racism and misogyny and vote for a woman of color”. Republicans like winning, but NEVER bet against racism and misogyny with that crew.

    Also, a large fraction of the base WILL vote for Trump, and only Trump, whether he’s on the ballot or not, which hurts Haley. And there’s no evidence that the R’s have won over a single new voter since 2020, when they lost.

    This all turns on how badly Biden does with HIS base, and that is currently pretty worrying. Democratic voters like unproductive petulance at least as much as Republican voters like racism and misogyny.