Autumn.

Get it, americans

Wait. Winter is coming

I also see delayed response in displaying shutdown options.

Understood. Serving emotional content is the social media stunt to grab attention. News is not The intention. And without enough context, it increases polarity in our society. Tiktok is a master of this tactic.

Some things last over my lifetime, and that’s “lasts” enough.

In scenario 1, legit or not, you said the chance is still 50-50. In other scenarios also you shouldn’t change or it wouldn’t matter. That’s what I say, just in the opposite direction. But the problem of probability depends on the wordings and phrases, which means I may not have understood the ques well.

Another angle: You explained the Monty Hall problem at the end that the probability changes because in second choice we have more information. So you are implying that the initial 1/3 probability of the now-open door adds to the door we did not choose - making the switch advisable. Here I also say the probability does change from initial 1/3, but to 1/2-1/2 for each remaining doors; why should the probability be poured to the unselected single door?

Spot on.

Or there are 2 possibilities and then you introduce a 3rd door that is never correct?

Yes that one. Similar to the one you did with 100 doors, just in opposite direction.

Hang on, that’s not a decreasing trend. 1/√4 is not smaller, but larger than 1/4…?

Great. Can you give me example of decreasing trend slower than that function curve?, where summation doesn’t give finite value? A simple example please, I am not math scholar.

In this example, there were 100 choices in the beginning, and later you reduced to 2 choices. Clearly an advantage. Does the same apply to the 3 door problem?

Let’s take this question in another angle. Instead of 3, there are only 2 doors. I am to choose one out of 2, which has a prize. After I choose one, you show me a third door which is empty. Now, should I change my option?

I: 27

You: The number is either 27 or 44. Do you want to change your choice?

I: why would I?

The same reason we use ship for a cargo and car for shipping.

That’s what Buddhas have been saying!

So the resolution lies in the secret that a decreasing trend up to infinity adds up to a finite value. This is well explained by Gabriel’s horn area and volume paradox: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZOi9HH5ueU

No. No. You choose to be ignorant.

Smiling over Gnome at Kathmandu, the capital.

Only for fedora?

Eww. Already overwhelmed with such tales from random internet read. More cozy is Soft Voice for mW.

1. Ask a spaceman!
2. Late Night Linux
3. Global News Podcast (by BBC )
4. Physics World Weekly Podcast

Lately, I have started listening to Soft Voice, and I enjoy it too.