Ossof and Warnock were both elected in 2021; IIRC, both of them had run-off elections, and Republicans didn’t vote because they thought the election was ‘rigged’. Biden was elected because Trump was deeply unpopular; a number of people that had voted for Trump either didn’t vote–esp. because around here it seemed like a foregone conclusion that he’d win again–or switched side in 2020.
OTOH, Kemp wins Governor elections pretty handily, and he’s not exactly a centrist Republican like, say, Mitt Romney was/is. He clobbered Stacy Abrams in 2022, 53% to 46%. That was even stronger than the first time he beat her, in 2018, 50 to 49, and in 2022 she had put in four years of trying to build a stronger ground game.
Is the state gerrymandered all to hell? Oh yeah. But given the results of the last governor’s race, I wouldn’t be looking at Georgia to break Trump.
Georgia went for Biden and recently elected two Democratic senators. It is not overwhelmingly Republican.
not sure about the rest you listed.
Ossof and Warnock were both elected in 2021; IIRC, both of them had run-off elections, and Republicans didn’t vote because they thought the election was ‘rigged’. Biden was elected because Trump was deeply unpopular; a number of people that had voted for Trump either didn’t vote–esp. because around here it seemed like a foregone conclusion that he’d win again–or switched side in 2020.
OTOH, Kemp wins Governor elections pretty handily, and he’s not exactly a centrist Republican like, say, Mitt Romney was/is. He clobbered Stacy Abrams in 2022, 53% to 46%. That was even stronger than the first time he beat her, in 2018, 50 to 49, and in 2022 she had put in four years of trying to build a stronger ground game.
Is the state gerrymandered all to hell? Oh yeah. But given the results of the last governor’s race, I wouldn’t be looking at Georgia to break Trump.