For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.
Harris reacted by doubling down that “Nothing would change between a Biden and a Harris white house”.
“If you are hurting, in trouble, demanding that something - anything - should change about any aspect of life in America … vote for Trump, cause I want to keep everything the same.”
Harris’s advisors reportedly were bashing their heads against the wall screaming “don’t say that out loud!”