A recent spate of polling paints a bad picture of declining support for the president from voters of color. But just how worrisome is it?

  • AutoTL;DR@lemmings.worldB
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    1 year ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    So, to understand these trends, I’ve assembled a few theories, informed by conversations with pollsters, strategists, and Democratic party operatives, for why this polling gap continues.

    “We can’t bury our head in the sand and give excuses about why the polling is wrong,” Chuck Rocha, the Democratic Latino consultant who has frequently been critical of his party’s work with voters of color, told me.

    “Times have changed and if we continue to rely on these constituencies to vote at such a high number, I’m afraid Democrats will be disappointed unless we put in the work needed to get them there.”

    Democrats seem to face bigger hurdles to retaining support from Black and Latino men, compared with women, while Biden specifically is underperforming with lower-income voters of color.

    So it’s possible that Biden has artificially deflated support just because of who he is: his age, his background, his approach to politics, him being an old-school politician in a party that has increasingly become more progressive and wants more dynamism in their leaders,” Cox said.

    As my colleague Andrew Prokop has explained, the polls conducted over the last year have told a consistent story — one of near-even support for Biden and his Republican rivals in battleground states and nationally.


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  • cyd@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    You can tell this long article was written by a political junkie. Most voters, minority or not, don’t pay attention to the political horse race, they judge the government on the economy. Inflation and high gas prices are the two things they hate most of all, and even if it’s not entirely Joe Biden’s fault, too bad; that’s just how presidents are judged. No mystery there.

      • cyd@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        But the trend is in line with the trend in the rest of the population. So the basic hypothesis should be that the things driving Biden’s unpopularity in the broader electorate are also hurting him among minorities. Going beyond that, inflation is known to hurt economically disadvantaged groups more than others.