Rapidcreek@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agoDonald Trump does not get post-shooting poll boostwww.newsweek.comexternal-linkmessage-square65fedilinkarrow-up1348arrow-down121cross-posted to: news@lemmy.worldnews@lemmy.world
arrow-up1327arrow-down1external-linkDonald Trump does not get post-shooting poll boostwww.newsweek.comRapidcreek@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 4 months agomessage-square65fedilinkcross-posted to: news@lemmy.worldnews@lemmy.world
minus-squareReptorian@lemmy.ziplinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up2arrow-down1·4 months agoPolls being wrong claim is more about how election results seem to be different than poll results. Special elections points to that.
minus-squarelemming934@lemmy.sdf.orglinkfedilinkarrow-up3arrow-down1·4 months agoPolls have a margin of error and election results have generally been within the 80% confidence interval 80% of the time. It is true that when there are less polls (like in special elections) it’s harder to get an understanding of the state of the race.
Polls being wrong claim is more about how election results seem to be different than poll results. Special elections points to that.
Polls have a margin of error and election results have generally been within the 80% confidence interval 80% of the time.
It is true that when there are less polls (like in special elections) it’s harder to get an understanding of the state of the race.