Nikki Haley is on the rise, looking for an upset that could derail former President Trump’s path to the Republican presidential nomination.
It’s becoming increasingly clear that the New Hampshire primary is her best— and perhaps only — chance.
Haley’s advance in the Granite State has been striking.
A new American Research Group (ARG) poll released Thursday put Haley within 4 points of Trump in New Hampshire — a jaw-dropping result given that Trump has a lead of about 50 points in national polls.
The ARG poll showed Trump with 33 percent support in New Hampshire and Haley at 29 percent, with the rest of the field well behind.
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Another poll in recent days, from Saint Anselm College, showed Haley at 30 percent support, double the backing she drew in a survey from the same organization in September.
“Haley has got real momentum, and she has been building it over a period of months,” said Jim Merrill, a GOP strategist in New Hampshire who is not working for any of the presidential campaigns.
Meanwhile, the main super PAC supporting Trump begin airing an attack ad against Haley this week in New Hampshire.
In addition, there is little reliable polling so far that incorporates reaction to Tuesday’s Colorado Supreme Court ruling, which found that Trump’s name should be removed from the Republican primary ballot in the state.
The court said that the 14th Amendment, which bars people who have engaged in “insurrection or rebellion” from holding office, disqualifies Trump from the presidency.
This fact alone gives the primary inherent unpredictability — and, in effect, advantages candidates with crossover appeal like Haley over more polarizing figures such as Trump.
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