• givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It’s not just turnout, turnout was much higher in 2020 than 2016

    This is another area Hillary’s campaign fucked up, despite being very simple if looking at the larger picture.

    The population increased like 16 million in that time.

    So “turnout” when viewed as a total number makes it look like it constantly gets better. Hillary ignored that and chased beating Obama’s total votes out of pride rather than focusing on the electoral college to win.

    So its best to use percentages, and 2016 was the lowest it’s been in 20 years, ironically enough, that was the other Clinton.

    https://www.cnn.com/2016/11/11/politics/popular-vote-turnout-2016/index.html

    In 2020 it was like 2/3s of eligible voters who voted. But it’s a lot easier to motivate people to vote for someone solely because “they’re not a Republican” when the Republican is already in office. Especially when the challenger is telling everyone they’re going to fix all the shit the Republican is breaking.

    But four years later after that didn’t happen…

    And I don’t know how anyone can’t forsee a decline in turnout.

    And just to be safe I’ll say it again:

    Republicans only win when turnout is low, so we need to focus on increasing turnout

    And poll numbers show Biden most likely won’t be able to match 2020’s numbers. Republicans tho…

    Not many voted for trump in 2020 but won’t in 2024.