Democrats won 56-44 in a NH district which Trump barely won in 2020. Encouraging news!
Oh look, it's one of those progressives who centrist Democrats keep saying can't win in Republican districts.
It's interesting. I used to think similarly, in all honesty, but it was foolish to rely on conventional wisdom after 2016. It isn't so conventional now.
I think there's definitely been a shift more in favor of progressives, and I think Republicans have done it unintentionally. Taking a hard right position can have two outcomes. Either the opposition compromises in the middle (Obama years) or the opposition becomes even further left as a reaction to the far right. Because of how extremist and obstinate Republicans have been, people have become more progressive and embraced those policies.
On top of that you have age demographics, which again Republicans have screwed up. Young people are overwhelmingly in favor of progressives and completely detest Republicans. The pandemic was harder on older people, but Republicans also allowed/encouraged conspiracy theories that killed their supporters who could have otherwise lived.
I know there's other factors I'm forgetting at the moment, but I think the surge in Democrat strength is probably driven significantly by Progressives.
Well first they have to win primaries. Which they tend not to. Also the northeast is very unusual politically.
Also the northeast is very unusual politically.
Anywhere a progressive wins is automatically "very unusual politically" the instant people point out that progressives can win in situations where centrists insist they can't.
You mean the guy that never won a popular vote and whose candidates mostly lost in 2022 might lose yet again? I'm not saying to relax on the efforts to beat him, but he's a proven loser.
Well, personally I like to expand leads whenever possible. If I'm winning by 1, I wanna be winning by 5. If I'm winning by 5, I wanna be winning by 10, etc. etc. etc.
Of course. Like I said, it doesn't mean we can just relax and expect him to lose.
Absolutely. If we're behind, we fight like hell to get ahead. If we're ahead, we fight like hell to beat them by a massive margin.
Yeah but it doesn't matter unfortunately…we need to make sure that his side loses hard enough to one of their bullshit claims could even be considered…like getting a 25 on an exam with a 10 point curve, it's still an F. But 69 with a curve they're argue is really a C and they win.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
Democrats flipped a key swing seat in New Hampshire on Tuesday, taking them within a whisker of denying Republicans control over the state's House of Representatives.
The seat, which includes the towns of Northwood and Nottingham, had become vacant after its sitting Republican, Brian Bartlett, resigned on medical grounds.
New Hampshire voted decisively for Joe Biden at the 2020 presidential election, and narrowly backed Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in 2016.
Any sign the state was moving away from the Democrats would have been a major blow to Biden's 2024 re-election hopes and a win for Trump, who polling shows is the firm frontrunner for the 2024 Republican presidential candidacy.
Responding to the win Laura Telerski, chairman of the House Democrats Victory Campaign Committee, commented: "The results tonight in the towns of Northwood and Nottingham speak for themselves: Granite Staters resoundingly reject Republican extremism and are motivated to vote for change in record numbers.
Thank you to Representative-elect Hal Rafter, the town committees, and countless volunteers who worked hard and laid the groundwork for victory.
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